OHIO SENATE ROUNDUP! – Why Vance Wins BIG Over Tim Ryan Despite Awful Polling
Polls (and “expert” forecasts) show JD Vance in a tight race with Tim Ryan for Ohio’s Senate seat currently held by the retiring Rob Portman. Here is why they are very wrong (shocker).
INFLATION: 8.2% 60/40 PORTFOLIO: -34.4% (𝘄𝗼𝗿𝘀𝘁 𝗮𝗻𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘇𝗲𝗱 𝗿𝗲𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝗽𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝟭𝟬𝟬 𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿𝘀) Median Rent: $2,002 (+24% from 2021) 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 7.1% (That’s a new 𝟮𝟬-𝘆𝗲𝗮𝗿 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵)




INDEPENDENTS: 2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Polling Trends by Rasmussen Sep 29: Democrats 38% (+1) Republicans 37% Oct 6: Republicans 41% (+7) Democrats 34% Oct 13: Republicans 46% (+16) Democrats 30% 𝟭𝟳 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁 𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗳𝘁 𝘁𝗼𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗚𝗢𝗣
𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗣𝗢𝗟𝗟: Kari Lake holds 3-POINT lead over Katie Hobbs in ARIZONA Governor Race (R) Kari Lake 47% (+3) (D) Katie Hobbs 44% OHPredictive 674 Likely Voters October 4-6 ±3.77% margin of error

𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗣𝗢𝗟𝗟: 2024 Presidential Election by Redfield and W. (with leaners) (R) Trump 47% (+1) (D) Biden 46% Midwest (R) Trump 55% (+12) (D) Biden 43% . (R) Trump 49% (+3) (D) Harris 46% Midwest (R) Trump 61% (+23) (D) Harris 38% 1,163 LV | 10/02-03 Joe-Biden-Administration-Approval-Ratings-and-Hypothetical-Voting-Intention-12.10.2022.xlsx (live.com)
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Polling Trends by Rasmussen September 29: Republicans 45% (+1) Democrats 44% October 6: Republicans 47% (+3) Democrats 44% October 13: Republicans 48% (+7) Democrats 41% 𝟲 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁 𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗳𝘁 𝘁𝗼𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗚𝗢𝗣
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans 48% (+7) Democrats 41% Independents Republicans 46% (+16) Democrats 30% 3 point shift towards GOP from last week Generic Congressional Ballot – Rasmussen Reports®
CNN POLL: Economic Conditions April 2021 Net Good — 54% (net: +9) Net Poor — 45% NOW Net Good — 22% (net: -56) Net Poor — 78% 𝐍𝐄𝐓 𝐒𝐖𝐈𝐍𝐆: -𝟔𝟓%

Civiqs 10/8-10/11 | LV GA Senate (D) Raphael Warnock 49% (+3) (R) Herschel Walker 46% GA Governor (R) Brian Kemp 51% (+5) (D) Stacey Abrams 46% TX Governor (R) Greg Abbott 52% (+8) (D) Beto O’Rourke 44% Civiqs | Election 2022: New Civiqs Polls in Georgia and Texas
ARIZONA GOVERNOR POLLING TRENDS By Insider Advantage September (D) Katie Hobbs 44% (+1) (R) Kari Lake 43% October (R) Kari Lake 49% (+3) (D) Katie Hobbs 46% 4 point shift towards Kari Lake

ARIZONA POLL by Insider Advantage GOVERNOR (R) Kari Lake 49% (+3) (D) Katie Hobbs 46% SENATE (D) Mark Kelly 46% (+4) (R) Blake Masters 42% (L) Marc Victor 6% 550 RV | MoE ±4.8% 2022 Election: Lake leads Arizona governor’s race, Kelly remains ahead in Senate race in new poll (fox10phoenix.com)








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