NEW POLL: Lee Zeldin has taken a lead against Kathy Hochul in New York Governor Race – Trafalgar (R) Lee Zeldin: 48.4% (+0.8) (D) Kathy Hochul: 47.6% NY Gov General – Oct 2022 – Trafalgar Group (thetrafalgargroup.org)
Left Wing Cook Political House rating changes 10 blue state districts move in Republicans’ direction
NBC NEWS: "Republicans hold MASSIVE advantage on 3 of 5 most Important issues according to New Gallup poll"
Which party do you trust to handle:
⦿ Immigration: GOP +33
⦿ The Economy: GOP +31
⦿ Crime: GOP +28
⦿ Gun policy: GOP +5
⦿ Abortion: Dem +14pic.twitter.com/5qx5Wq7MSS— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 1, 2022
MI Governor (R) Tudor Dixon: 45% (=) (D) Gretchen Whitmer: 45% ⦿ Independents: 51/29 (Dixon +22) AM Greatness
NEW: For the first time in Morning Consult tracking among likely voters, Democrats do not lead Republicans on the generic ballot Sept 29: Democrats 49% (D+5) Republicans 44% Today: Republicans 46% (=) Democrats 46% 2022 Midterm Elections Tracker | Morning Consult
AZ Governor (R) Kari Lake 53% (+11) (D) Katie Hobbs 42% AZ Senate (R) Blake Masters 47% (=) (D) Mark Kelly 47% Arizona decides: Kelly and Masters locked in tight battle, Kari Lake dominates Hobbs – The Phillips Academy Poll (andoverpoll.com)
TX Generic Congressional Ballot GOP — 53% (R+16) Dem — 37% TX Generic County Judge Ballot GOP — 50% (R+14) Dem — 36% Texas 2022 election cover 4_final (texastribune.org)
Missouri Senate General Election Poll Eric Schmitt (R): 54% (+14) Trudy Busch Valentine (D): 40% ⦿ Emerson | 1,000 LV | 10/26-28 Missouri 2022: Republican Eric Schmitt Maintains Double Digit Lead Over Democrat Trudy Busch Valentine – Emerson Polling (emersoncollegepolling.com)
𝐍𝐄𝐖 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐋: Joe Lombardo holds 𝟰 𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧 lead over Steve Sisolak in Nevada Governor Race Joe Lombardo (R): 49% (+4) Steve Sisolak (D-inc): 45% The New York Times / Siena College Nevada Poll: (constantcontact.com)
WSJ: Generic Congressional Ballot among Latino voters and white suburban women: GOP +15 That group, which the pollsters said makes up 20% of the electorate, 𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐟𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝟐𝟔 𝐩𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐭𝐨𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐆𝐎𝐏 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans 46% (+2) Democrats 44% 5 point shift towards the GOP from Aug ⦿ Best party to handle inflation: R+21 ⦿ WSJ: Fabrizio (R) & Anzalone (D) ⦿ 1500 𝗥𝗩 | 10/22-26 | MoE ±2.5% Revised Baseline Nationwide Poll Oct 2022.xlsx (wsj.net)
NYT: Arizona Libertarian Senate candidate Marc Victor announces he is dropping out and endorsing Blake Masters
Pew Research: About eight-in-ten Black U.S. voters say violent crime is very important to their 2022 midterm vote % of registered voters who see violent crime as a very important voting issue this year Black Democrats: 82% White Democrats: 33% What the public thinks – and data shows – about violent crime in U.S. | Pew Research Center
RCP HOUSE RATING CHANGES 5 out of 6 Races shift toward the GOP RCP HOUSE FORECAST ⦿ Republicans — 228 ⦿ Democrats — 174 ⦿ Toss Ups — 33 Since Oct 1 RCP have changed ratings on 34 House seats — 32 changes were toward Republicans RealClearPolitics – 2022 Election Maps – Race Changes
TEXAS POLL By University of Houston GOV (R) Greg Abbott 53% (+13) (D) Beto O’Rourke 40% LT GOV (R) Dan Patrick 51% (+15) (D) Mike Collier 36% AG (R) Ken Paxton 49% (+12) (D) Rochelle Garza 37% Thread by @KennethRWebster on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans 49% (+2) Democrats 47% ⦿ Midwest: 53/42 (R+11) ⦿ Independents: 48/39 (R+9) ⦿ 2 pt shift towards the GOP from Sept Cygnal | 5,502 LV | 10/19-21 | ±1.03% October National Voter Trends Panel – Cygnal
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