OHIO SENATE ROUNDUP! – Why Vance Wins BIG Over Tim Ryan Despite Awful Polling
Polls (and “expert” forecasts) show JD Vance in a tight race with Tim Ryan for Ohio’s Senate seat currently held by the retiring Rob Portman. Here is why they are very wrong (shocker).
INFLATION: 8.2% ย 60/40 PORTFOLIO: -34.4% (๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป ๐ถ๐ป ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ญ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐) ย Median Rent: $2,002 (+24% from 2021) ย 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate: 7.1% (That’s a new ๐ฎ๐ฌ-๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฟ ๐ต๐ถ๐ด๐ต)
INDEPENDENTS: 2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Polling Trends by Rasmussen Sep 29: Democrats 38% (+1) Republicans 37% Oct 6: Republicans 41% (+7) Democrats 34% Oct 13: Republicans 46% (+16) Democrats 30%ย ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐ฃ
๐ก๐๐ช ๐ฃ๐ข๐๐: Kari Lake holds 3-POINT lead over Katie Hobbs in ARIZONA Governor Race (R) Kari Lake 47% (+3) (D) Katie Hobbs 44%ย OHPredictive ย 674 Likely Voters ย October 4-6 ย ยฑ3.77% margin of error
๐ก๐๐ช ๐ฃ๐ข๐๐: 2024 Presidential Election by Redfield and W. (with leaners) (R) Trump 47% (+1) (D) Biden 46% Midwest (R) Trump 55% (+12) (D) Biden 43% . (R) Trump 49% (+3) (D) Harris 46% Midwest (R) Trump 61% (+23) (D) Harris 38% 1,163 LV | 10/02-03ย Joe-Biden-Administration-Approval-Ratings-and-Hypothetical-Voting-Intention-12.10.2022.xlsx (live.com)
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Polling Trends by Rasmussen September 29: Republicans 45% (+1) Democrats 44% October 6: Republicans 47% (+3) Democrats 44% October 13: Republicans 48% (+7) Democrats 41% ๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐ ๐๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐ฃ
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Republicans 48% (+7) Democrats 41% Independents Republicans 46% (+16) Democrats 30%ย 3 point shift towards GOP from last weekย Generic Congressional Ballot – Rasmussen Reportsยฎ
CNN POLL: Economic Conditions April 2021 Net Good โ 54% (net: +9) Net Poor โ 45% NOW Net Good โ 22% (net: -56) Net Poor โ 78%ย ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐: -๐๐%
Civiqs 10/8-10/11 | LV GA Senate (D) Raphael Warnock 49% (+3) (R) Herschel Walker 46% GA Governor (R) Brian Kemp 51% (+5) (D) Stacey Abrams 46% TX Governor (R) Greg Abbott 52% (+8) (D) Beto O’Rourke 44% Civiqs | Election 2022: New Civiqs Polls in Georgia and Texas
ARIZONA GOVERNOR POLLING TRENDS By Insider Advantage September (D) Katie Hobbs 44% (+1) (R) Kari Lake 43% October (R) Kari Lake 49% (+3) (D) Katie Hobbs 46% 4 point shift towards Kari Lake
ARIZONA POLL by Insider Advantage GOVERNOR (R) Kari Lake 49% (+3) (D) Katie Hobbs 46% SENATE (D) Mark Kelly 46% (+4) (R) Blake Masters 42% (L) Marc Victor 6% 550 RV | MoE ยฑ4.8%ย 2022 Election: Lake leads Arizona governor’s race, Kelly remains ahead in Senate race in new poll (fox10phoenix.com)
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