When Everything Falls Apart… Latest polls…

NC SENATE:  Budd +6 by ECU ECU overstated Democratic support in North Carolina by an average of 3.55% (2020 Senate and Pres) OH SENATE:  Vance +2 by Suffolk Suffolk overstated Democratic support by an average of 9.5% in 2016 and 2018 (they did not poll OH in 2020)

OHIO POLL: 23% of likely voters watched the debate between J.D. Vance and Tim Ryan Who did better than you expected? (R) Vance 45% (+10) (D) Ryan 35 Indies (R) Vance 56% (+35) (D) Ryan 21% Overall Result: Vance +2 (Suffolk Overstated Dem support by 9.5% in 2016 and 2018

OHIO POLL By Suffolk University SENATE (R) J.D. Vance 47% (+2) (D) Tim Ryan 45% GOVERNOR (R) Mike DeWine 56% (+18) (D) Nan Whaley 38% OH Biden Job Approval: 39/56 (-17) 500 LV | R39/D35/I26 | 10/11-15 10-17-2022 Ohio Midterms with USA TODAY Network marginals (suffolk.edu)

North Carolina Senate Polling Trends by East Carolina University September (R) Ted Budd 49% (+3) (D) Cheri Beasley 46% October (R) Ted Budd 50% (+6) (D) Cheri Beasley 44%  𝟯 𝗽𝗼𝗶𝗻𝘁 𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗳𝘁 𝘁𝗼𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱𝘀 𝗕𝘂𝗱𝗱

𝐍𝐄𝐖 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐋: Ted Budd holds 𝟲 𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧 over Cheri Beasley in North Carolina Senate Race (R) Ted Budd 50% (+6) (D) Cheri Beasley 44% NC Generic Ballot: 49R-44D (R+5) ⦿ ECU Poll ⦿ N=902 LV ⦿ Fieldwork: 10/10-13  ECU Center for Survey Research – ECU Poll: Budd Widens Lead over Beasley in NC Senate Race (reportablenews.com)

𝐍𝐄𝐖 𝐏𝐎𝐋𝐋: Mike Lee holds 𝟭𝟱 𝗣𝗢𝗜𝗡𝗧 lead over Evan McMullin in Utah Senate Race (R) Mike Lee 47% (+15) (I) Evan McMullin 32%

NYT POLL: Generic Ballot Polling Trends September 16 poll vs October 12: ⦿ Overall: Dem +2 —> GOP +4 ⦿ Indies: GOP +1 —> GOP +10 ⦿ Women: Dem +13 —> 47/47 Net Shift Towards the GOP:  Overall: +6  Independents: +9  𝗪𝗼𝗺𝗲𝗻: +𝟭𝟯  NY Times Cross-Tabs for October 2022 Times/Siena Poll of Likely Voters – The New York Times (archive.ph)

2022 Generic Ballot: 5 consecutive polls show GOP ahead among LIKELY voters NYT/Siena GOP — 49% (R+4) Dem — 45% Harvard/Harris GOP — 53% (R+6) Dem — 47% Rasmussen GOP — 48% (R+7) Dem — 41% CBS/YouGov GOP — 47% (R+2) Dem — 45% Trafalgar GOP — 48% (R+5) Dem — 43%

RCP HOUSE RATING CHANGES  3 Races shift Towards Republicans RCP HOUSE FORECAST ⦿ Republicans — 221 ⦿ Democrats — 178 ⦿ Toss Ups — 36

NEW: NYT/Siena College 2022 Generic Ballot GOP — 49% (R+4) Dem — 45% ⦿ Independents: R51-D41 (R+10) 2024 Presidential Election (R) Trump 45% (+1) (D) Biden 44% ⦿ Independents: 43/38 (Trump +5) Biden Job Approval Approve 39% Disapprove 58% ⦿ Independents: 33/63 (-30)

FOX NEWS POLL: If 2024 Presidential Election were today would you: Re-Elect Biden — 33% Vote For Someone Else — 54% Biden: Re-Elect/Someone Else Democrats: 70/18 Republicans: 3/90 Independents: 𝟭𝟯/𝟱𝟰  Fox October 2022 Cross Tabs – October 16 Release.xlsx (foxnews.com)

Harvard/Harris Poll: Most Important issues 1. Inflation 37% 2. The Economy/Jobs 29% 3. Immigration 23% 4. Crime and Drugs 18% 5. Abortion 17% January 6 is the most important issue to …7% of Registered voters Generic Ballot among LV’s: R+6 HHP_Oct2022_KeyResults.pdf (harvardharrispoll.com)